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Waiver Wire Friday: The Smoaking Gun

Posted By: on April 4, 2014

My oh my it’s been a while… but now that the baseball season is back in full swing, we are heading back to the waiver wire each and ever Friday. It has been a week marked by closer carnage and with many owners investing their early FAAB dollars and waiver priorities mining for saves, a couple of high-upside gems may have slipped through the cracks.

Up In Smoak

Mariner first baseman Justin Smoak tops the list as the priority add in Week 1. After a strong finish to 2013 with 11 home runs in August and September, Smoak opened 2013 with three straight multi-hit efforts including a pair of long balls. His work against lefties remains a concern but with the Mariners committing to Smoak as an every day player, his power stroke and improving eye at the dish makes for a prime post-hype breakout. Smoak slipped in draft and, as of this writing, is currently owned in just 37% of standard Yahoo leagues. If he keeps up this torrid pace, that number will double by the end of he weekend. He’s an immediate add for any team that left the draft table light on power.

Each week we’ll provide a position-by-position roundup of the top talent on the wire. To qualify, players must have an ownership rate below 40% in standard 12-team Yahoo leagues. For our deeper formats, we’ll also throw out names with under 10% ownership.

Working The Wire

Catcher

Mike Zunino (9%): The Mariner’s catcher was simply awful at the plate both in the majors and in the minors last season, taking some of the shine off of his breakout 2012 where he hit .360/.447/.689 in 44 minor league games. At just 23 years old, there’s plenty of time for Zunino to show that he has a major league stick.

Yasmani Grandal (2%): Oddly, the catcher coming off of an ACL reconstruction has more steals than hits this season and his lack of playing time in the early going is a sign that perhaps Yasmani is not quite ready to take over the everyday job. If you are in a pinch, he remains a name to stash.

First Base

Adam LaRoche (25%): After Smoak, LaRoche is the top first baseman on the heap. Get over the abysmal .237/.332/.403 line last season and consider a player whose averaged 27 homer runs and 90 RBI per 162 games played since 2010.

Garret Jones (2%): A change of scenery and a chance to redeem himself versus left-handed pitching will bring Jones back into relevance. He’s bankable for 15 home runs in a platoon with a chance to earn more playing time in a better-than-you-think Marlins lineup.

Middle Infield

Chris Owings (23%): Owings shoved aside Didi Gregorious in the spring and is off to a hot start so far with three multi-hit efforts in the first week. He put up a robust .330-104-12-81-20 line in the hitter friendly Pacific Coast League with the DBacks Triple-A affiliate. You can’t buy those inflated numbers, but do buy into the .290/.320/.441 slash line he posted over ~2,000 minor league at bats. A chance at 10 home runs with double digit speed and a .290 average sounds like a fantastic find on the wire in early April.

Kolten Wong (32%): Wong won the starting job with a strong spring showing (.375/.434/.646) and now finds himself in a very juicy position, taking hacks out of the two-hole in the Cards lineup.

Brian Roberts (4%): It may not be a long ride, but B-Rob just always seems to produce when on the field.

Third Base

David Freese (39%): Slow start aside, Freese is at a premium run-producing spot in a very interesting offense. If things click for this team, they could be tough to pitch to.

Casey McGehee (4%): Excellent start to the season (6-for-13, 8 RBI) but can he keep it rolling?

Outfield

Andre Ethier (16%): I want this guy on my team for the long haul just about as much as the Dodgers seemingly do, but he tends to start well, perhaps before his body begins to break down and he makes his annual trip to the DL. I’ll buy in April… just be sure to sell in May.

Jason Kubel (1%): The veteran will see plenty of at-bats versus right-handed pitching (.823 career OPS vs. RHP) and is always productive when healthy.

Abraham Almonte (2%): A relative unknown heading into the season, Almonte, who has a fairly steady minor league track record, find himself batting out of the leadoff spot for the Mariners. He swiped 27 bases in the majors and minor last year and 30+ in each of the two previous seasons. Give him a look as a hail-mary play in deep formats with room for growth.

Starters

James Paxton (28%): Paxton kept up his sizzling end to 2013 in his 2014 debut (7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 9 K, 2 BB).

Nathan Eovaldi (11%): Has the velocity but the strikeout rate has just never followed… until he stuck out six over six strong innings this week. If the Ks stick, a step forward is coming.

Jason Hammel (1%): Those knees certainly looked healthy while he tossed 6.2 innings of two-hit, one-run ball Thursday.

Kyle Kendrick (2%): If not for a Papelbon blowup, Kendirck (7 IP , 0 ER, 4 K 1 BB) would be 1-0.

Closer Carnage

It will be a constant race to the wire to go mining for saves, here’s how we see it.

Get them now: Josh Fields (14%), Jonathan Broxton (14%)

Keep an eye on: Pedro Strop (7%), Luke Gregerson (13%), Ryan cook (6%), Sean Doolittle (8%), Cody Allen (21%)

 

Box Score Baseball Podcast: It’s Go Time

Posted By: on April 4, 2014

The 2014 MLB season is upon us and Wayne Bretsky and Mark Kaplan dive into all the action from Opening Week. The boys look back at the draft season that was before breaking down the closer carnage of week 1. The guys also take an early look at the waiver wire and introduce a new segment: The Good, the Bad and the Upside.

Hit up the guys on Twitter @BretskyBall and @DaTrueGuru to join in on the action!

»Listen

Box Score Baseball Podcast – It’s Go Time

News and Notes

  • Clayton Kershaw (back) down for the count
  • Jose Reyes (hamstring) to the DL
  • Michael Bourn (hamstring) making progess

Listener League and Overall Draft Recap

  • Draft season reflections
  • Handicapping the competition

Waiver Wire

  • Closer carnage
  • Waiver wire bats: Emilio Bonifacio, Justin Smoak, Brian Roberts
  • Waiver wire arms: James Paxton, Nathan Eovaldi, Scott Baker

The Good, the Bad and the Upside

  • Buying Brandon Belt’s hot start
  • CC Sabathia slows down and struggles
  • The upside of Diamondbacks shortstop Chris Owings

Mailbag!

The Box Score Baseball theme is written and performed by William “Wild Bill” Hitchcock

2014 Bold Predictions: Calling Our Shot

Posted By: on March 31, 2014

It’s here. Opening Day 2014. Put those snow shovels away and grab your virtual manager’s cap. Baseball has arrived. What better way to ring in the arrival of the most glorious season of the year? Well, by telling you what is going to happen in each and every division around baseball. Recently, on the Box Score Baseball Podcast, the hosts relayed their predictions for the 2014 season. Of course, we cannot sit and just let our predictions go unquestioned in audio format, so we’re doubling up and Calling Our Shot once again in writing. Read on to find how we breakdown the landscape of the 2014 MLB season.

Disagree with any of our calls? Let us hear it in the comments or call us out on Twitter: @BretskyBall and @DaTrueGuru!

2014 MLB Predictions

BretskyKaplan
Playoffs
NL
EastNationalsNationals
CentralCardinalsReds
WestDodgersDiamondbacks
WC1RedsDodgers
WC2PhilliesGaints
LCSNationals over DodgersNationals over Giants
AL
EastRaysRays
CentralTigersTigers
WestAngelsAthletics
WC1AthleticsOrioles
WC2OriolesRed Sox
LCSOrioles over RaysTigers over Orioles
World SeriesNationals over OriolesTigers
Superlatives
MLB
AL MVPAlbert PujolsMiguel Cabrera
NL MVPJoey VottoRyan Braun
AL Cy YoungJustin VerlanderChris Sale
NL Cy YoungCliff LeeClayton Kershaw
AL ROYJose AbreuJose Abreu
NL ROYGregory PolancoJavier Baez
Fantasy
Fantasy MVPMatt KempCole Hamels
Bust of the YearYasiel PuigBilly Hamilton
Impact ProspectArchie BradleyNick Castellanos
Fantasy BreakoutDerek DietrichRobbie Ross
Comeback PlayerAlbert PujolsStarlin Castro
Statistical Leaders
HRGiancarlo Stanton (48)Chris Davis (47)
StealsBilly Hamilton (62)Everth Cabrera (58)
BattingJoey Votto (.333)Cabrera (.348)
WinsJustin Verlander (21)Adam Wainwright (21)
StrikeoutsMax Scherzer (253)Jose Fernandez (alot)
SavesKenley Jansen (45)Greg Holland (49)

Bold Predictions

Wayne Bretsky

  • Dan Uggla is a top-10 second baseman
  • Dee Gordon holds more fantasy value than Billy Hamilton
  • Albert Pujols is the highest rated Angel on the player rater
  • Alex Cobb is the most valuable Rays’ pitcher
  • Justin Ruggiano goes 20/20 for the Cubs

Mark Kaplan

  • Brandon Belt is a top-10 first baseman
  • Anthony Rizzo finsihes outside the top-15 among first baseman
  • Austin Jackson check in as a top-20 outfielder
  • LaTroy Hawkins gives up more home runs than converted saves

Box Score Baseball Podcast – Calling Our Shot

Posted By: on March 27, 2014

Wayne Bretsky and Mark Kaplan lay out the scene for the 2014 MLB seasons, giving their division-by-division predictions, post-season award winners and fantasy superlatives. The guys also discuss reports Clayton Kershaw’s injury, the Rangers’ rotation and Jose Reyes bum leg.

Interested in joining our listener league? Hit up the guys on Twitter @BretskyBall and @DaTrueGuru to join in on the action!

»Listen

Box Score Baseball Podcast – Calling Our Shot

News and Notes

  • Clayton Kershaw (back) scratched
  • Jacoby Ellsbury (calf) hobbled
  • Jose Reyes (hamstring) remains out
  • Jurickson Profar (shoulder) to miss 10-12 weeks
  • Yu Darvish (neck) out for opening day, Tanner Scheppers gets the call

Calling Our Shot

  • 2014 Division Winners
  • Post Season Awards
  • Statistical Leaders
  • Fantasy Superlatives

Mailbag!

The Box Score Baseball theme is written and performed by William “Wild Bill” Hitchcock

2014 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Rankings

Posted By: on March 23, 2014

Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.

All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring

2014 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Rankings

RankPlayerTeam
1Mike TroutLAA
2Andrew McCutchenPIT
3Carlos GonzalezCOL
4Ryan BraunMIL
5Adam JonesBAL
6Giancarlo StantonMIA
7Bryce HarperWSH
8Jacoby EllsburyNYY
9Justin UptonATL
10Carlos GomezMIL
11Yasiel PuigLAD
12Yoenis CespedesOAK
13Matt KempLAD
14Shin-Soo ChooTEX
15Jay BruceCIN
16Jose BautistaTOR
17Starling MartePIT
18Wil MyersTB
19Martin PradoARI
20Alex RiosTEX
21Matt HollidaySTL
22Austin JacksonDET
23Allen CraigSTL
24Hunter PenceSF
25Jason HeywardATL
26Jayson WerthWSH
27Desmond JenningsTB
28Ben ZobristTB
29Alex GordonKC
30Brett GardnerNYY
31Shane VictorinoBOS
32Christian YelichMIA
33Alfonso SorianoNYY
34Khris DavisMIL
35Carlos BeltranNYY
36Curtis GrandersonNYM
37Josh HamiltonLAA
38Nelson CruzBAL
39Domonic BrownPHI
40Coco CrispOAK
41Brandon MossOAK
42Billy HamiltonCIN
43Mark TrumboARI
44Avisail GarciaDET
45Oswaldo ArciaMIN
46Leonys MartinTEX
47Kelly JohnsonNYY
48Rajai DavisDET
49Justin RuggianoCHC
50Nick CastellanosDET
51Nick MarkakisBAL
52Adam EatonARI
53B.J. UptonATL
54Eric YoungNYM
55Ben ReverePHI
56Carl CrawfordLAD
57Chris CarterHOU
58Peter BourjosSTL
59Angel PaganSF
60Will VenableSD
61Michael BournCLE
62George SpringerHOU
63Oscar TaverasSTL
64Dexter FowlerHOU
65Alejandro De AzaCHW
66Gregory PolancoPIT
67Michael CuddyerCOL
68Nick SwisherCLE
69Kole CalhounLAA
70Dayan ViciedoCHW
71Corey HartSEA
72Mike MorseSF
73Colby RasmusTOR
74Josh ReddickOAK
75Norichika AokiKC

2014 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings

Posted By: on March 23, 2014

Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.

All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring

2014 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings

RankPlayerTeam
1Clayton KershawLAD
2Yu DarvishTEX
3Max ScherzerDET
4Cliff LeePHI
5Justin VerlanderDET
6Jose FernandezMIA
7Adam WainwrightSTL
8Chris SaleCHW
9Felix HernandezSEA
10Stephen StrasburgWSH
11David PriceTB
12Madison BumgarnerSF
13Gio GonzalezWSH
14Alex CobbTB
15Jordan ZimmermannWSH
16Gerrit ColePIT
17Zack GreinkeLAD
18Homer BaileyCIN
19Matt CainSF
20James ShieldsKC
21Julio TeheranATL
22Masahiro TanakaNYY
23Sonny GrayOAK
24Anibal SanchezDET
25Shelby MillerSTL
26Jeff SamardzijaCHC
27Cole HamelsPHI
28Mat LatosCIN
29Johnny CuetoCIN
30Mike MinorATL
31Michael WachaSTL
32A.J. BurnettPHI
33Matt MooreTB
34Tony CingraniCIN
35Lance LynnSTL
36Danny SalazarCLE
37Hyun-Jin RyuLAD
38Hiroki KurodaNYY
39Hisashi IwakumaSEA
40Zack WheelerNYM
41Chris ArcherTB
42Alex WoodATL
43Doug FisterDET
44CC SabathiaNYY
45Jon LesterBOS
46Patrick CorbinARI
47Marco EstradaMIL
48Andrew CashnerSD
49Francisco LirianoPIT
50Kevin GausmanBAL
51Ervin SantanaFA
52Clay BuchholzBOS
53Corey KluberCLE
54Jered WeaverLAA
55Justin MastersonCLE
56Yordano VenturaKC
57Dan HarenLAD
58R.A. DickeyTOR
59Archie BradleyARI
60Matt GarzaFA
61C.J. WilsonLAA
62James PaxtonSEA
63Tim HudsonSF
64Rick PorcelloDET
65Ian KennedySD
66Drew SmylyDET
67Taijuan WalkerSEA
68Chris TillmanBAL
69Ricky NolascoMIN
70Jake PeavyBOS
71A.J. GriffinOAK
72Tyler SkaggsARI
73Josh JohnsonSD
74Derek HollandTEX
75Tim LincecumSF

2014 Fantasy Baseball Relief Pitcher Rankings

Posted By: on March 23, 2014

Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.

All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring

2014 Fantasy Baseball Relief Pitcher Rankings

RankPlayerTeam
1Craig KimbrelATL
2Kenley JansenLAD
3Greg HollandKC
4Trevor RosenthalSTL
5Glen PerkinsMIN
6Steve CishekMIA
7Sergio RomoSF
8Koji UeharaBOS
9Joe NathanDET
10Aroldis ChapmanCIN
11David RobertsonNYY
12Jonathan PapelbonPHI
13Addison ReedARI
14Rafael SorianoWSH
15Casey JanssenTOR
16John AxfordCLE
17Grant BalfourTB
18Fernando RodneySEA
19Jason GrilliPIT
20Ernesto FrieriLAA
21Jim HendersonMIL
22Jim JohnsonOAK
23Joakim SoriaTEX
24Nathan JonesCHW
25Bobby ParnellNYM
26Huston StreetSD
27Tommy HunterBAL
28Rex BrothersCOL
29Chad QuallsMIA
30Jose VerasCHC
31LaTroy HawkinsCOL
32J.J. HooverCIN
33Carlos MartinezSTL
34Sergio SantosTOR
35Neftali FelizTEX
36Cody AllenCLE
37Joaquin BenoitSD
38Tyler ClippardWSH
39Mark MelanconPIT
40Danny FarquharSEA

2014 Fantasy Baseball Third Base Rankings

Posted By: on March 21, 2014

Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.

All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring

2014 Fantasy Baseball Third Base Rankings

RankPlayerTeam
1Miguel CabreraDET
2Evan LongoriaTB
3Hanley RamirezLAD
4Adrian BeltreTEX
5David WrightNYM
6Ryan ZimmermanWSH
7Martin PradoARI
8Matt CarpenterSTL
9Kyle SeagerSEA
10Pedro AlvarezPIT
11Aramis RamirezMIL
12Josh DonaldsonOAK
13Pablo SandovalSF
14Nolan ArenadoCOL
15Brett LawrieTOR
16David FreeseLAA
17Chris JohnsonATL
18Xander BogaertsBOS
19Chase HeadleySD
20Mike MoustakasKC
21Manny MachadoBAL
22Kelly JohnsonNYY
23Nick CastellanosDET
24Trevor PlouffeMIN
25Todd FrazierCIN

2014 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop Rankings

Posted By: on March 21, 2014

Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.

All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring

2014 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop Rankings

RankPlayerTeam
1Hanley RamirezLAD
2Troy TulowitzkiCOL
3Ian DesmondWSH
4Starlin CastroCHC
5Jose ReyesTOR
6Jean SeguraMIL
7Jurickson ProfarTEX
8J.J. HardyBAL
9Ben ZobristTB
10Elvis AndrusTEX
11Jed LowrieOAK
12Asdrubal CabreraCLE
13Jhonny PeraltaSTL
14Andrelton SimmonsATL
15Xander BogaertsBOS
16Everth CabreraSD
17Alexei RamirezCHW
18Jimmy RollinsPHI
19Jonathan VillarHOU
20Stephen DrewFA
21Chris OwingsARI
22Brian DozierMIN
23Junior LakeCHC
24Josh RutledgeCOL
25Erick AybarLAA

2014 Fantasy Baseball Second Base Rankings

Posted By: on March 21, 2014

Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.

All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring

2014 Fantasy Baseball Second Base Rankings

RankPlayerTeam
1Robinson CanoSEA
2Jason KipnisCLE
3Dustin PedroiaBOS
4Aaron HillARI
5Jedd GyorkoSD
6Ian KinslerDET
7Matt CarpenterSTL
8Jose AltuveHOU
9Chase UtleyPHI
10Jurickson ProfarTEX
11Ben ZobristTB
12Howie KendrickLAA
13Anthony RendonWSH
14Brandon PhillipsCIN
15Daniel MurphyNYM
16Dan UgglaATL
17Kelly JohnsonNYY
18Jonathan SchoopBAL
19Brian DozierMIN
20Josh RutledgeCOL
21Kolten WongSTL
22Rickie WeeksMIL
23Nick FranklinSEA
24Neil WalkerPIT
25Scooter GennettMIL