Waiver Wire Friday: The Smoaking Gun
Posted By:Bretsky on April 4, 2014
My oh my it’s been a while… but now that the baseball season is back in full swing, we are heading back to the waiver wire each and ever Friday. It has been a week marked by closer carnage and with many owners investing their early FAAB dollars and waiver priorities mining for saves, a couple of high-upside gems may have slipped through the cracks.
Up In Smoak
Mariner first baseman Justin Smoak tops the list as the priority add in Week 1. After a strong finish to 2013 with 11 home runs in August and September, Smoak opened 2013 with three straight multi-hit efforts including a pair of long balls. His work against lefties remains a concern but with the Mariners committing to Smoak as an every day player, his power stroke and improving eye at the dish makes for a prime post-hype breakout. Smoak slipped in draft and, as of this writing, is currently owned in just 37% of standard Yahoo leagues. If he keeps up this torrid pace, that number will double by the end of he weekend. He’s an immediate add for any team that left the draft table light on power.
Each week we’ll provide a position-by-position roundup of the top talent on the wire. To qualify, players must have an ownership rate below 40% in standard 12-team Yahoo leagues. For our deeper formats, we’ll also throw out names with under 10% ownership.
Working The Wire
Catcher
Mike Zunino (9%): The Mariner’s catcher was simply awful at the plate both in the majors and in the minors last season, taking some of the shine off of his breakout 2012 where he hit .360/.447/.689 in 44 minor league games. At just 23 years old, there’s plenty of time for Zunino to show that he has a major league stick.
Yasmani Grandal (2%): Oddly, the catcher coming off of an ACL reconstruction has more steals than hits this season and his lack of playing time in the early going is a sign that perhaps Yasmani is not quite ready to take over the everyday job. If you are in a pinch, he remains a name to stash.
First Base
Adam LaRoche (25%): After Smoak, LaRoche is the top first baseman on the heap. Get over the abysmal .237/.332/.403 line last season and consider a player whose averaged 27 homer runs and 90 RBI per 162 games played since 2010.
Garret Jones (2%): A change of scenery and a chance to redeem himself versus left-handed pitching will bring Jones back into relevance. He’s bankable for 15 home runs in a platoon with a chance to earn more playing time in a better-than-you-think Marlins lineup.
Middle Infield
Chris Owings (23%): Owings shoved aside Didi Gregorious in the spring and is off to a hot start so far with three multi-hit efforts in the first week. He put up a robust .330-104-12-81-20 line in the hitter friendly Pacific Coast League with the DBacks Triple-A affiliate. You can’t buy those inflated numbers, but do buy into the .290/.320/.441 slash line he posted over ~2,000 minor league at bats. A chance at 10 home runs with double digit speed and a .290 average sounds like a fantastic find on the wire in early April.
Kolten Wong (32%): Wong won the starting job with a strong spring showing (.375/.434/.646) and now finds himself in a very juicy position, taking hacks out of the two-hole in the Cards lineup.
Brian Roberts (4%): It may not be a long ride, but B-Rob just always seems to produce when on the field.
Third Base
David Freese (39%): Slow start aside, Freese is at a premium run-producing spot in a very interesting offense. If things click for this team, they could be tough to pitch to.
Casey McGehee (4%): Excellent start to the season (6-for-13, 8 RBI) but can he keep it rolling?
Outfield
Andre Ethier (16%): I want this guy on my team for the long haul just about as much as the Dodgers seemingly do, but he tends to start well, perhaps before his body begins to break down and he makes his annual trip to the DL. I’ll buy in April… just be sure to sell in May.
Jason Kubel (1%): The veteran will see plenty of at-bats versus right-handed pitching (.823 career OPS vs. RHP) and is always productive when healthy.
Abraham Almonte (2%): A relative unknown heading into the season, Almonte, who has a fairly steady minor league track record, find himself batting out of the leadoff spot for the Mariners. He swiped 27 bases in the majors and minor last year and 30+ in each of the two previous seasons. Give him a look as a hail-mary play in deep formats with room for growth.
Starters
James Paxton (28%): Paxton kept up his sizzling end to 2013 in his 2014 debut (7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 9 K, 2 BB).
Nathan Eovaldi (11%): Has the velocity but the strikeout rate has just never followed… until he stuck out six over six strong innings this week. If the Ks stick, a step forward is coming.
Jason Hammel (1%): Those knees certainly looked healthy while he tossed 6.2 innings of two-hit, one-run ball Thursday.
Kyle Kendrick (2%): If not for a Papelbon blowup, Kendirck (7 IP , 0 ER, 4 K 1 BB) would be 1-0.
Closer Carnage
It will be a constant race to the wire to go mining for saves, here’s how we see it.
Get them now: Josh Fields (14%), Jonathan Broxton (14%)
Keep an eye on: Pedro Strop (7%), Luke Gregerson (13%), Ryan cook (6%), Sean Doolittle (8%), Cody Allen (21%)
Box Score Baseball Podcast: It’s Go Time
Posted By:Bretsky on April 4, 2014
The 2014 MLB season is upon us and Wayne Bretsky and Mark Kaplan dive into all the action from Opening Week. The boys look back at the draft season that was before breaking down the closer carnage of week 1. The guys also take an early look at the waiver wire and introduce a new segment: The Good, the Bad and the Upside.
Hit up the guys on Twitter @BretskyBall and @DaTrueGuru to join in on the action!
»Listen
Box Score Baseball Podcast – It’s Go Time
News and Notes
- Clayton Kershaw (back) down for the count
- Jose Reyes (hamstring) to the DL
- Michael Bourn (hamstring) making progess
Listener League and Overall Draft Recap
- Draft season reflections
- Handicapping the competition
Waiver Wire
- Closer carnage
- Waiver wire bats: Emilio Bonifacio, Justin Smoak, Brian Roberts
- Waiver wire arms: James Paxton, Nathan Eovaldi, Scott Baker
The Good, the Bad and the Upside
- Buying Brandon Belt’s hot start
- CC Sabathia slows down and struggles
- The upside of Diamondbacks shortstop Chris Owings
Mailbag!
The Box Score Baseball theme is written and performed by William “Wild Bill” Hitchcock
2014 Bold Predictions: Calling Our Shot
Posted By:Bretsky on March 31, 2014
It’s here. Opening Day 2014. Put those snow shovels away and grab your virtual manager’s cap. Baseball has arrived. What better way to ring in the arrival of the most glorious season of the year? Well, by telling you what is going to happen in each and every division around baseball. Recently, on the Box Score Baseball Podcast, the hosts relayed their predictions for the 2014 season. Of course, we cannot sit and just let our predictions go unquestioned in audio format, so we’re doubling up and Calling Our Shot once again in writing. Read on to find how we breakdown the landscape of the 2014 MLB season.
Disagree with any of our calls? Let us hear it in the comments or call us out on Twitter: @BretskyBall and @DaTrueGuru!
2014 MLB Predictions
| Bretsky | Kaplan |
| Playoffs | |
| NL | |
East | Nationals | Nationals |
Central | Cardinals | Reds |
West | Dodgers | Diamondbacks |
WC1 | Reds | Dodgers |
WC2 | Phillies | Gaints |
LCS | Nationals over Dodgers | Nationals over Giants |
| AL | |
East | Rays | Rays |
Central | Tigers | Tigers |
West | Angels | Athletics |
WC1 | Athletics | Orioles |
WC2 | Orioles | Red Sox |
LCS | Orioles over Rays | Tigers over Orioles |
World Series | Nationals over Orioles | Tigers |
| Superlatives | |
| MLB | |
AL MVP | Albert Pujols | Miguel Cabrera |
NL MVP | Joey Votto | Ryan Braun |
AL Cy Young | Justin Verlander | Chris Sale |
NL Cy Young | Cliff Lee | Clayton Kershaw |
AL ROY | Jose Abreu | Jose Abreu |
NL ROY | Gregory Polanco | Javier Baez |
| Fantasy | |
Fantasy MVP | Matt Kemp | Cole Hamels |
Bust of the Year | Yasiel Puig | Billy Hamilton |
Impact Prospect | Archie Bradley | Nick Castellanos |
Fantasy Breakout | Derek Dietrich | Robbie Ross |
Comeback Player | Albert Pujols | Starlin Castro |
| Statistical Leaders | |
HR | Giancarlo Stanton (48) | Chris Davis (47) |
Steals | Billy Hamilton (62) | Everth Cabrera (58) |
Batting | Joey Votto (.333) | Cabrera (.348) |
Wins | Justin Verlander (21) | Adam Wainwright (21) |
Strikeouts | Max Scherzer (253) | Jose Fernandez (alot) |
Saves | Kenley Jansen (45) | Greg Holland (49) |
Bold Predictions
Wayne Bretsky
- Dan Uggla is a top-10 second baseman
- Dee Gordon holds more fantasy value than Billy Hamilton
- Albert Pujols is the highest rated Angel on the player rater
- Alex Cobb is the most valuable Rays’ pitcher
- Justin Ruggiano goes 20/20 for the Cubs
Mark Kaplan
- Brandon Belt is a top-10 first baseman
- Anthony Rizzo finsihes outside the top-15 among first baseman
- Austin Jackson check in as a top-20 outfielder
- LaTroy Hawkins gives up more home runs than converted saves
Box Score Baseball Podcast – Calling Our Shot
Posted By:Bretsky on March 27, 2014
Wayne Bretsky and Mark Kaplan lay out the scene for the 2014 MLB seasons, giving their division-by-division predictions, post-season award winners and fantasy superlatives. The guys also discuss reports Clayton Kershaw’s injury, the Rangers’ rotation and Jose Reyes bum leg.
Interested in joining our listener league? Hit up the guys on Twitter @BretskyBall and @DaTrueGuru to join in on the action!
»Listen
Box Score Baseball Podcast – Calling Our Shot
News and Notes
- Clayton Kershaw (back) scratched
- Jacoby Ellsbury (calf) hobbled
- Jose Reyes (hamstring) remains out
- Jurickson Profar (shoulder) to miss 10-12 weeks
- Yu Darvish (neck) out for opening day, Tanner Scheppers gets the call
Calling Our Shot
- 2014 Division Winners
- Post Season Awards
- Statistical Leaders
- Fantasy Superlatives
Mailbag!
The Box Score Baseball theme is written and performed by William “Wild Bill” Hitchcock
2014 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Rankings
Posted By:Bretsky on March 23, 2014
Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.
All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring
2014 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Rankings
Rank | Player | Team |
1 | Mike Trout | LAA |
2 | Andrew McCutchen | PIT |
3 | Carlos Gonzalez | COL |
4 | Ryan Braun | MIL |
5 | Adam Jones | BAL |
6 | Giancarlo Stanton | MIA |
7 | Bryce Harper | WSH |
8 | Jacoby Ellsbury | NYY |
9 | Justin Upton | ATL |
10 | Carlos Gomez | MIL |
11 | Yasiel Puig | LAD |
12 | Yoenis Cespedes | OAK |
13 | Matt Kemp | LAD |
14 | Shin-Soo Choo | TEX |
15 | Jay Bruce | CIN |
16 | Jose Bautista | TOR |
17 | Starling Marte | PIT |
18 | Wil Myers | TB |
19 | Martin Prado | ARI |
20 | Alex Rios | TEX |
21 | Matt Holliday | STL |
22 | Austin Jackson | DET |
23 | Allen Craig | STL |
24 | Hunter Pence | SF |
25 | Jason Heyward | ATL |
26 | Jayson Werth | WSH |
27 | Desmond Jennings | TB |
28 | Ben Zobrist | TB |
29 | Alex Gordon | KC |
30 | Brett Gardner | NYY |
31 | Shane Victorino | BOS |
32 | Christian Yelich | MIA |
33 | Alfonso Soriano | NYY |
34 | Khris Davis | MIL |
35 | Carlos Beltran | NYY |
36 | Curtis Granderson | NYM |
37 | Josh Hamilton | LAA |
38 | Nelson Cruz | BAL |
39 | Domonic Brown | PHI |
40 | Coco Crisp | OAK |
41 | Brandon Moss | OAK |
42 | Billy Hamilton | CIN |
43 | Mark Trumbo | ARI |
44 | Avisail Garcia | DET |
45 | Oswaldo Arcia | MIN |
46 | Leonys Martin | TEX |
47 | Kelly Johnson | NYY |
48 | Rajai Davis | DET |
49 | Justin Ruggiano | CHC |
50 | Nick Castellanos | DET |
51 | Nick Markakis | BAL |
52 | Adam Eaton | ARI |
53 | B.J. Upton | ATL |
54 | Eric Young | NYM |
55 | Ben Revere | PHI |
56 | Carl Crawford | LAD |
57 | Chris Carter | HOU |
58 | Peter Bourjos | STL |
59 | Angel Pagan | SF |
60 | Will Venable | SD |
61 | Michael Bourn | CLE |
62 | George Springer | HOU |
63 | Oscar Taveras | STL |
64 | Dexter Fowler | HOU |
65 | Alejandro De Aza | CHW |
66 | Gregory Polanco | PIT |
67 | Michael Cuddyer | COL |
68 | Nick Swisher | CLE |
69 | Kole Calhoun | LAA |
70 | Dayan Viciedo | CHW |
71 | Corey Hart | SEA |
72 | Mike Morse | SF |
73 | Colby Rasmus | TOR |
74 | Josh Reddick | OAK |
75 | Norichika Aoki | KC |
2014 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings
Posted By:Bretsky on March 23, 2014
Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.
All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring
2014 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings
Rank | Player | Team |
1 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD |
2 | Yu Darvish | TEX |
3 | Max Scherzer | DET |
4 | Cliff Lee | PHI |
5 | Justin Verlander | DET |
6 | Jose Fernandez | MIA |
7 | Adam Wainwright | STL |
8 | Chris Sale | CHW |
9 | Felix Hernandez | SEA |
10 | Stephen Strasburg | WSH |
11 | David Price | TB |
12 | Madison Bumgarner | SF |
13 | Gio Gonzalez | WSH |
14 | Alex Cobb | TB |
15 | Jordan Zimmermann | WSH |
16 | Gerrit Cole | PIT |
17 | Zack Greinke | LAD |
18 | Homer Bailey | CIN |
19 | Matt Cain | SF |
20 | James Shields | KC |
21 | Julio Teheran | ATL |
22 | Masahiro Tanaka | NYY |
23 | Sonny Gray | OAK |
24 | Anibal Sanchez | DET |
25 | Shelby Miller | STL |
26 | Jeff Samardzija | CHC |
27 | Cole Hamels | PHI |
28 | Mat Latos | CIN |
29 | Johnny Cueto | CIN |
30 | Mike Minor | ATL |
31 | Michael Wacha | STL |
32 | A.J. Burnett | PHI |
33 | Matt Moore | TB |
34 | Tony Cingrani | CIN |
35 | Lance Lynn | STL |
36 | Danny Salazar | CLE |
37 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | LAD |
38 | Hiroki Kuroda | NYY |
39 | Hisashi Iwakuma | SEA |
40 | Zack Wheeler | NYM |
41 | Chris Archer | TB |
42 | Alex Wood | ATL |
43 | Doug Fister | DET |
44 | CC Sabathia | NYY |
45 | Jon Lester | BOS |
46 | Patrick Corbin | ARI |
47 | Marco Estrada | MIL |
48 | Andrew Cashner | SD |
49 | Francisco Liriano | PIT |
50 | Kevin Gausman | BAL |
51 | Ervin Santana | FA |
52 | Clay Buchholz | BOS |
53 | Corey Kluber | CLE |
54 | Jered Weaver | LAA |
55 | Justin Masterson | CLE |
56 | Yordano Ventura | KC |
57 | Dan Haren | LAD |
58 | R.A. Dickey | TOR |
59 | Archie Bradley | ARI |
60 | Matt Garza | FA |
61 | C.J. Wilson | LAA |
62 | James Paxton | SEA |
63 | Tim Hudson | SF |
64 | Rick Porcello | DET |
65 | Ian Kennedy | SD |
66 | Drew Smyly | DET |
67 | Taijuan Walker | SEA |
68 | Chris Tillman | BAL |
69 | Ricky Nolasco | MIN |
70 | Jake Peavy | BOS |
71 | A.J. Griffin | OAK |
72 | Tyler Skaggs | ARI |
73 | Josh Johnson | SD |
74 | Derek Holland | TEX |
75 | Tim Lincecum | SF |
2014 Fantasy Baseball Relief Pitcher Rankings
Posted By:Bretsky on March 23, 2014
Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.
All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring
2014 Fantasy Baseball Relief Pitcher Rankings
Rank | Player | Team |
1 | Craig Kimbrel | ATL |
2 | Kenley Jansen | LAD |
3 | Greg Holland | KC |
4 | Trevor Rosenthal | STL |
5 | Glen Perkins | MIN |
6 | Steve Cishek | MIA |
7 | Sergio Romo | SF |
8 | Koji Uehara | BOS |
9 | Joe Nathan | DET |
10 | Aroldis Chapman | CIN |
11 | David Robertson | NYY |
12 | Jonathan Papelbon | PHI |
13 | Addison Reed | ARI |
14 | Rafael Soriano | WSH |
15 | Casey Janssen | TOR |
16 | John Axford | CLE |
17 | Grant Balfour | TB |
18 | Fernando Rodney | SEA |
19 | Jason Grilli | PIT |
20 | Ernesto Frieri | LAA |
21 | Jim Henderson | MIL |
22 | Jim Johnson | OAK |
23 | Joakim Soria | TEX |
24 | Nathan Jones | CHW |
25 | Bobby Parnell | NYM |
26 | Huston Street | SD |
27 | Tommy Hunter | BAL |
28 | Rex Brothers | COL |
29 | Chad Qualls | MIA |
30 | Jose Veras | CHC |
31 | LaTroy Hawkins | COL |
32 | J.J. Hoover | CIN |
33 | Carlos Martinez | STL |
34 | Sergio Santos | TOR |
35 | Neftali Feliz | TEX |
36 | Cody Allen | CLE |
37 | Joaquin Benoit | SD |
38 | Tyler Clippard | WSH |
39 | Mark Melancon | PIT |
40 | Danny Farquhar | SEA |
2014 Fantasy Baseball Third Base Rankings
Posted By:Bretsky on March 21, 2014
Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.
All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring
2014 Fantasy Baseball Third Base Rankings
Rank | Player | Team |
1 | Miguel Cabrera | DET |
2 | Evan Longoria | TB |
3 | Hanley Ramirez | LAD |
4 | Adrian Beltre | TEX |
5 | David Wright | NYM |
6 | Ryan Zimmerman | WSH |
7 | Martin Prado | ARI |
8 | Matt Carpenter | STL |
9 | Kyle Seager | SEA |
10 | Pedro Alvarez | PIT |
11 | Aramis Ramirez | MIL |
12 | Josh Donaldson | OAK |
13 | Pablo Sandoval | SF |
14 | Nolan Arenado | COL |
15 | Brett Lawrie | TOR |
16 | David Freese | LAA |
17 | Chris Johnson | ATL |
18 | Xander Bogaerts | BOS |
19 | Chase Headley | SD |
20 | Mike Moustakas | KC |
21 | Manny Machado | BAL |
22 | Kelly Johnson | NYY |
23 | Nick Castellanos | DET |
24 | Trevor Plouffe | MIN |
25 | Todd Frazier | CIN |
2014 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop Rankings
Posted By:Bretsky on March 21, 2014
Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.
All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring
2014 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop Rankings
Rank | Player | Team |
1 | Hanley Ramirez | LAD |
2 | Troy Tulowitzki | COL |
3 | Ian Desmond | WSH |
4 | Starlin Castro | CHC |
5 | Jose Reyes | TOR |
6 | Jean Segura | MIL |
7 | Jurickson Profar | TEX |
8 | J.J. Hardy | BAL |
9 | Ben Zobrist | TB |
10 | Elvis Andrus | TEX |
11 | Jed Lowrie | OAK |
12 | Asdrubal Cabrera | CLE |
13 | Jhonny Peralta | STL |
14 | Andrelton Simmons | ATL |
15 | Xander Bogaerts | BOS |
16 | Everth Cabrera | SD |
17 | Alexei Ramirez | CHW |
18 | Jimmy Rollins | PHI |
19 | Jonathan Villar | HOU |
20 | Stephen Drew | FA |
21 | Chris Owings | ARI |
22 | Brian Dozier | MIN |
23 | Junior Lake | CHC |
24 | Josh Rutledge | COL |
25 | Erick Aybar | LAA |
2014 Fantasy Baseball Second Base Rankings
Posted By:Bretsky on March 21, 2014
Get ready for your 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft with our position-by-position and top-300 rankings.
All rankings assume standard 5×5 roto scoring
2014 Fantasy Baseball Second Base Rankings
Rank | Player | Team |
1 | Robinson Cano | SEA |
2 | Jason Kipnis | CLE |
3 | Dustin Pedroia | BOS |
4 | Aaron Hill | ARI |
5 | Jedd Gyorko | SD |
6 | Ian Kinsler | DET |
7 | Matt Carpenter | STL |
8 | Jose Altuve | HOU |
9 | Chase Utley | PHI |
10 | Jurickson Profar | TEX |
11 | Ben Zobrist | TB |
12 | Howie Kendrick | LAA |
13 | Anthony Rendon | WSH |
14 | Brandon Phillips | CIN |
15 | Daniel Murphy | NYM |
16 | Dan Uggla | ATL |
17 | Kelly Johnson | NYY |
18 | Jonathan Schoop | BAL |
19 | Brian Dozier | MIN |
20 | Josh Rutledge | COL |
21 | Kolten Wong | STL |
22 | Rickie Weeks | MIL |
23 | Nick Franklin | SEA |
24 | Neil Walker | PIT |
25 | Scooter Gennett | MIL |